Why McCain won...

[m42]

The conventional wisdom, which I share, is that Barack Obama will win this election, perhaps by a healthy margin. But Democrats are nervous wrecks; they're having nightmares that defeat will be snatched from the jaws of victory.

To add to their misery (and guard against complacency), here's how that horror film could play out:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/us_elections_2008/7693309.stm

[Anenome]

There have been indications that McCain could pull it out, ala GWB 2000.

Here's a great post about the way that pollsters mathematically deal with their caller samples and why the polls will always be inherently flawed:

http://iowahawk.typepad.com/iowahawk/2008/10/balls-and-urns.html

And just to make sure you read it, it's actually funny too ^_^